Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.763323 42.995721 48.719753 55.451186 63.157153 71.710855 81.936325
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 33.032892 40.534977 49.397514 60.660254 74.623630 91.407440 113.174429
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 28.639249 37.611786 48.978092 64.484877 85.173476 111.942247 149.397798
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 25.725055 36.015625 49.940466 70.263404 99.346872 139.738222 200.563239
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 22.449277 33.367515 49.084769 73.531383 110.921926 166.476246 256.246633
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 18.967304 29.807042 46.338880 73.635465 118.087134 188.495280 310.180589
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 16.316511 27.024352 44.271250 74.412062 126.523947 214.287762 376.135224
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.752047 25.700100 44.287214 78.608159 141.509413 253.995493 475.105539
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.530956 24.736070 44.740632 83.682502 159.177563 302.259912 601.542962
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.077014 23.092146 43.703466 85.865986 172.049811 344.621622 727.575309
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.476406 20.883238 41.225069 84.806603 178.420778 375.816595 839.036992
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.125271 18.920913 38.877159 83.557950 184.191375 407.175357 959.405129
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.081937 17.440129 37.323375 83.885122 193.964580 450.620052 1122.572443
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.290510 16.355493 36.421297 85.522050 207.267111 505.738228 1331.425524
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.522338 15.182551 35.115164 85.983277 218.007521 557.712026 1548.914604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.055934 14.623974 35.126062 89.692736 237.960255 638.491062 1871.926810
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.488368 13.716261 34.134624 90.668536 251.071246 704.822985 2175.695653
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.832061 12.465123 32.056604 88.328107 254.549853 745.459081 2415.272564
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.328973 11.517532 30.584753 87.352417 261.803548 799.338682 2716.902547
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.063524 11.158358 30.621953 90.749296 283.217510 902.876842 3225.525422
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.863272 10.943198 31.021348 95.351883 309.769578 1030.889447 3870.747454
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.574390 10.420908 30.445254 96.822686 326.583545 1131.584380 4452.773048
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 3.213539 9.620020 28.896310 94.829570 331.168797 1191.248930 4896.780493